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Conditional Probability – Venn + Tree Diagrams Review

A two-circle Venn diagram, a marble tree diagram, and a two-dice sum chart anchor five pages of conditional-probability problems with a matching answer key.
Grades
Grades 9–11, High School
File type
Microsoft Word

Updated Sep 18, 2021

Subject
Math, Geometry, Statistics
Topic
Probability, review
Resource types
Diagrams, Teacher Tools

About this resource

What's inside this resource

This review guide comes with 4 pages of questions for your students and an answer key.

In the classroom

Teaching tips & learning objectives

Learning objectives

  • Students will use a two-circle Venn diagram to find subset counts, such as how many students study only one of two languages.

  • Students will write or complete shaded-region expressions for a Venn diagram using union, intersection, and complement notation.

  • Students will draw and label a tree diagram for a without-replacement probability scenario, multiplying branch probabilities to find outcome probabilities.

Teaching tips

  • Review union, intersection, and complement set notation before assigning the shaded-region problems, since students fill in or describe regions using this vocabulary.

  • Work through the marble tree-diagram example as a class first, since correctly adjusting the second draw's probability after removing a marble is the step students most often miss.

  • Use the five-page answer key to spot-check the algebra-heavy Venn diagram problem (31 students split across two activities), since an early miscount there affects every sub-question that follows.

Skills covered

  • Venn diagram interpretation — reading subset counts and regions from a two-circle diagram of overlapping categories.

  • Set notation — describing or filling Venn diagram regions using union, intersection, and complement.

  • Tree diagram construction — drawing and labeling branch probabilities for a without-replacement scenario, then multiplying along branches for outcome probabilities.

Good to know

Questions teachers ask about this resource

How does the class-of-31 word problem require solving for an unknown overlap?

With 20 playing table tennis and 23 playing another game in a class of 31, those totals add to 49, twelve more than the class size, so the overlap (18 students playing both) has to be found before the Venn diagram can be completed.

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Curriculum

Standards, concepts & topics

Standards

  • HSS-CP.B.6 — Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B’s outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model.
  • HSS-CP.A.1 — Describe events as subsets of a sample space (the set of outcomes) using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, intersections, or complements of other events (“or,” “and,” “not”).
  • HSS-CP.B.8 — Apply the general Multiplication Rule in a uniform probability model, P(A and B) = P(A)P(B|A) = P(B)P(A|B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model.

Core concepts

  • conditional probability

  • Venn diagrams

  • tree diagrams

  • set notation

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